Humanity Forecast
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Afghanistan

A rugged, mountainous landlocked nation at the crossroads of Central and South Asia, Afghanistan has been shaped by millennia of trade routes and conflict. The capital Kabul sits in a high valley surrounded by the Hindu Kush mountains. Known for its dramatic landscapes, tribal diversity, and rich cultural heritage including ancient Buddhist sites at Bamiyan.

Major cities: Kabul, Kandahar, Herat, Mazar-i-Sharif

2024
42.6M
UN
2050
76.9M
UN
2100
130.2M
UN
~2200
131.0M
GPU
~2500
31.0M
GPU
Population42.6M
Fertility (TFR)4.76
Life expectancy66.3
Median age16.9
Infant mortality50.4 per 1,000
Pop. density64/km²
Urbanization25%
Youth share (0-14)43%
Land area652,230 km²
LanguageDari Persian
ReligionMuslim
HDI0.496 (#181)
RegionAsia

Latest available year is shown in parentheses where the source series varies across indicators. Governance metrics use World Bank percentile ranks; battle deaths and military spending are context variables, not direct fertility drivers.

UN WPP 2024 — verified data through 2100
YearPopulationTFRLife Exp.CBRCDRNet MigrationGrowth
19507.78M7.2528.249.437.4+6K1.2%
19558.33M7.2630.450.234.4-7K1.6%
19609.04M7.2832.850.531.7+3K1.9%
196510.0M7.3135.150.929.2+11K2.2%
197011.3M7.4037.551.226.8+4K2.4%
197512.8M7.5440.051.324.4-44K2.7%
198013.2M7.6439.353.525.7-1,174K2.8%
198511.4M7.5532.151.731.7-209K2.0%
199012.0M7.5845.152.919.5-459K3.3%
199517.1M7.7752.152.714.4+53K3.8%
200020.1M7.5755.051.512.6-1,026K3.9%
200524.4M6.8658.245.09.9+251K3.5%
201028.3M6.2060.741.88.4-167K3.3%
201533.8M5.6562.339.47.5-286K3.2%
202039.1M5.1561.536.67.6+144K2.9%
2024Now42.6M4.7666.335.05.7-44K2.9%
202543.8M4.6666.534.45.6-74K2.9%
203050.0M4.2267.631.55.2+20K2.6%
203556.6M3.8968.629.25.0-80K2.4%
204063.3M3.5669.426.84.9+33K2.2%
204570.0M3.3070.225.05.0-77K2.0%
205076.9M3.0970.923.65.1-124K1.8%
205583.6M2.9171.622.15.3-18K1.7%
206090.4M2.7672.320.95.6-86K1.5%
206597.0M2.6373.019.65.9+52K1.4%
2070103M2.5173.618.56.3+66K1.2%
2075109M2.4074.217.56.8-138K1.1%
2080115M2.3174.816.67.3-33K0.9%
2085119M2.2475.515.87.7-81K0.8%
2090123M2.1776.115.18.1-0K0.7%
2095127M2.1176.714.58.5-90K0.6%
2100130M2.0677.313.98.9-99K0.5%