Humanity Forecast
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Antigua and Barbuda flag

Antigua and Barbuda

A twin-island Caribbean nation in the Lesser Antilles, Antigua and Barbuda boasts 365 beaches — one for every day of the year. The capital St. John's on Antigua is a colorful port city. The islands were devastated by Hurricane Irma in 2017, particularly Barbuda, which was almost entirely evacuated. The economy depends heavily on tourism and the country is a popular destination for sailing and yachting.

Major cities: St. John's, All Saints, Liberta, Potter's Village

2024
94K
UN
2050
95K
UN
2100
68K
UN
~2200
1.0M
GPU
~2500
1.0M
GPU
Population94K
Fertility (TFR)1.58
Life expectancy77.8
Median age34.7
Infant mortality5.5 per 1,000
Pop. density220/km²
Urbanization25%
Land area442 km²
LanguageEnglish
ReligionProtestant
HDI0.794 (#62)
RegionNorth America

Latest available year is shown in parentheses where the source series varies across indicators. Governance metrics use World Bank percentile ranks; battle deaths and military spending are context variables, not direct fertility drivers.

UN WPP 2024 — verified data through 2100
YearPopulationTFRLife Exp.CBRCDRNet MigrationGrowth
195045K5.1258.136.512.1-0K2.4%
195550K4.8760.235.610.4-0K2.5%
196056K4.6062.635.09.2-0K2.6%
196560K4.4266.233.27.7-1K2.5%
197065K3.6369.425.56.2-1K1.9%
197564K2.7771.422.36.2-1K1.6%
198065K2.3173.121.96.4-1K1.6%
198565K2.1573.921.76.9-1K1.5%
199063K2.2573.620.87.6-1K1.3%
199568K2.1673.619.67.3+1K1.2%
200075K2.2074.819.76.3+0K1.3%
200580K1.8375.415.66.3+0K0.9%
201085K1.7976.714.75.8+0K0.9%
201589K1.5776.912.66.1+0K0.7%
202092K1.5777.212.26.60K0.6%
2024Now94K1.5877.811.77.0+0K0.5%
202594K1.5877.911.67.1+0K0.4%
203096K1.5678.810.97.8-0K0.3%
203597K1.5679.710.08.6-0K0.1%
204097K1.5780.59.49.5-0K0.0%
204596K1.5781.39.010.6-0K-0.2%
205095K1.5882.18.611.6-0K-0.3%
205593K1.5882.88.412.4-0K-0.4%
206091K1.5983.58.413.0-0K-0.5%
206589K1.5984.28.213.4-0K-0.5%
207086K1.6084.88.013.8-0K-0.6%
207583K1.6085.57.814.4-0K-0.7%
208080K1.6086.17.715.0-0K-0.7%
208577K1.6086.77.715.4-0K-0.8%
209074K1.6087.27.715.6-0K-0.8%
209571K1.6087.87.715.5-0K-0.8%
210068K1.6188.47.715.2-0K-0.8%