Humanity Forecast
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Brazil

The fifth-largest country in the world and the largest in South America, Brazil spans from the Amazon rainforest — the 'lungs of the Earth' — to cosmopolitan megacities like São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro. The modernist capital Brasília was purpose-built in the 1960s. Brazil is a global agricultural powerhouse and home to extraordinary biodiversity and cultural diversity.

Major cities: São Paulo, Rio de Janeiro, Brasília, Salvador

2024
212.0M
UN
2050
217.5M
UN
2100
163.4M
UN
~2200
81.0M
GPU
~2500
23.0M
GPU
Population212.0M
Fertility (TFR)1.61
Life expectancy76.0
Median age33.9
Infant mortality12.5 per 1,000
Pop. density25/km²
Urbanization88%
Youth share (0-14)20%
Land area8,358,140 km²
LanguagePortuguese
ReligionChristian
HDI0.786 (#84)
RegionSouth America

Latest available year is shown in parentheses where the source series varies across indicators. Governance metrics use World Bank percentile ranks; battle deaths and military spending are context variables, not direct fertility drivers.

UN WPP 2024 — verified data through 2100
YearPopulationTFRLife Exp.CBRCDRNet MigrationGrowth
195053.4M6.1248.546.417.0+10K2.9%
195562.1M6.0850.945.715.3+13K3.0%
196072.4M6.0553.243.913.6+4K3.0%
196583.8M5.6855.239.812.0-9K2.8%
197095.4M4.9357.335.210.5-19K2.5%
1975108M4.4259.633.59.5-25K2.4%
1980121M4.0461.832.48.6-39K2.4%
1985136M3.4864.029.27.7-61K2.1%
1990149M2.9065.924.87.0-31K1.8%
1995162M2.5767.722.36.5-70K1.6%
2000174M2.2569.619.96.2-46K1.4%
2005185M1.9471.817.25.9-89K1.1%
2010194M1.7973.815.35.8-262K1.0%
2015202M1.7875.114.76.0-174K0.9%
2020209M1.6574.513.07.5-78K0.5%
2024Now212M1.6176.012.17.1-226K0.5%
2025213M1.6076.211.97.2-217K0.5%
2030216M1.5877.111.17.9-146K0.3%
2035218M1.5777.910.58.7-85K0.2%
2040219M1.5778.710.09.5-31K0.1%
2045219M1.5779.59.610.3-33K-0.1%
2050217M1.5680.39.211.0-30K-0.2%
2055215M1.5681.18.811.7-30K-0.3%
2060211M1.5681.88.512.4-32K-0.4%
2065206M1.5782.58.413.2-34K-0.5%
2070201M1.5783.28.213.8-28K-0.6%
2075195M1.5883.88.214.4-29K-0.6%
2080189M1.5784.58.114.7-28K-0.7%
2085182M1.5885.18.014.9-23K-0.7%
2090176M1.5885.77.915.0-27K-0.7%
2095169M1.5886.27.815.0-24K-0.7%
2100163M1.5886.87.815.0-22K-0.7%