Humanity Forecast
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Cuba

The largest island in the Caribbean, Cuba is known for its revolutionary socialist government established in 1959, vintage American cars, and vibrant Afro-Caribbean culture. The capital Havana features a magnificent colonial Old City (Habana Vieja) that is a UNESCO World Heritage Site. Cuba has one of the highest literacy rates and doctor-to-patient ratios in the developing world.

Major cities: Havana, Santiago de Cuba, Camagüey, Holguín

2024
11.0M
UN
2050
9.4M
UN
2100
5.6M
UN
~2200
3.0M
GPU
~2500
1.0M
GPU
Population11.0M
Fertility (TFR)1.45
Life expectancy78.3
Median age41.7
Infant mortality6.6 per 1,000
Pop. density106/km²
Urbanization77%
Youth share (0-14)16%
Land area103,800 km²
LanguageSpanish
ReligionChristian
HDI0.762 (#97)
RegionNorth America

Latest available year is shown in parentheses where the source series varies across indicators. Governance metrics use World Bank percentile ranks; battle deaths and military spending are context variables, not direct fertility drivers.

UN WPP 2024 — verified data through 2100
YearPopulationTFRLife Exp.CBRCDRNet MigrationGrowth
19505.92M4.0359.032.111.2-6K2.1%
19556.54M3.9061.231.19.8-8K2.1%
19607.24M4.1363.332.88.9-25K2.4%
19658.03M4.5065.634.48.1-47K2.6%
19708.82M3.9867.929.97.0-44K2.3%
19759.48M2.8270.421.66.4-46K1.5%
19809.80M1.6472.613.96.3-37K0.8%
198510.2M1.7773.516.76.6-18K1.0%
199010.6M1.8173.817.67.0-15K1.1%
199510.9M1.4874.313.57.4-29K0.6%
200011.1M1.6175.912.97.4-25K0.6%
200511.3M1.4977.510.67.4-17K0.3%
201011.3M1.6777.911.48.2-34K0.3%
201511.3M1.6977.710.99.1-25K0.2%
202011.2M1.4977.49.310.4-12K-0.1%
2024Now11.0M1.4578.38.610.4-22K-0.2%
202510.9M1.4578.48.510.5-22K-0.2%
203010.7M1.4779.38.311.2-19K-0.3%
203510.4M1.4980.28.112.0-16K-0.4%
204010.1M1.4981.07.812.9-13K-0.5%
20459.78M1.5081.87.414.0-10K-0.7%
20509.38M1.5182.67.215.2-8K-0.8%
20558.95M1.5283.37.016.2-7K-0.9%
20608.50M1.5384.07.016.8-7K-1.0%
20658.06M1.5484.77.016.6-7K-1.0%
20707.66M1.5485.37.016.3-6K-0.9%
20757.29M1.5585.96.916.2-5K-0.9%
20806.92M1.5586.66.916.6-5K-1.0%
20856.56M1.5587.16.817.0-5K-1.0%
20906.21M1.5687.76.817.0-5K-1.0%
20955.89M1.5688.36.816.9-4K-1.0%
21005.58M1.5788.86.916.9-4K-1.0%