Humanity Forecast
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Ecuador flag

Ecuador

Straddling the equator on South America's Pacific coast, Ecuador packs extraordinary geographic diversity into a small area: Amazonian rainforest, Andean highlands, coastal lowlands, and the famous Galápagos Islands. The capital Quito, a UNESCO World Heritage Site, sits at 2,850 meters in a valley flanked by volcanoes. Ecuador is the world's largest exporter of bananas.

Major cities: Quito, Guayaquil, Cuenca, Machala

2024
18.1M
UN
2050
21.3M
UN
2100
19.1M
UN
~2200
11.0M
GPU
~2500
3.0M
GPU
Population18.1M
Fertility (TFR)1.81
Life expectancy77.6
Median age28.4
Infant mortality11.1 per 1,000
Pop. density72/km²
Urbanization63%
Youth share (0-14)25%
Land area248,360 km²
LanguageSpanish
ReligionChristian
HDI0.777 (#88)
RegionSouth America

Latest available year is shown in parentheses where the source series varies across indicators. Governance metrics use World Bank percentile ranks; battle deaths and military spending are context variables, not direct fertility drivers.

UN WPP 2024 — verified data through 2100
YearPopulationTFRLife Exp.CBRCDRNet MigrationGrowth
19503.52M6.7348.445.019.8+0K2.5%
19554.01M6.7750.444.517.7-1K2.7%
19604.59M6.7253.443.715.3-2K2.8%
19655.30M6.5656.542.913.1-1K3.0%
19706.16M6.1458.841.211.4-1K3.0%
19757.12M5.4361.138.29.8-1K2.8%
19808.17M4.7363.335.28.2-1K2.7%
19859.31M4.1465.632.37.0-0K2.5%
199010.5M3.6868.429.95.8-21K2.4%
199511.6M3.3871.327.95.1-45K2.3%
200012.7M3.1072.125.65.2-41K2.0%
200513.8M2.8073.923.34.9-17K1.8%
201015.1M2.6175.221.94.8-8K1.7%
201516.3M2.2176.218.44.9+15K1.3%
202017.5M1.9772.016.47.5-10K0.9%
2024Now18.1M1.8177.614.85.2-20K1.0%
202518.3M1.7977.814.65.3-17K0.9%
203019.1M1.7578.613.95.6-3K0.8%
203519.8M1.7279.513.16.0-3K0.7%
204020.4M1.7180.312.36.5-3K0.6%
204521.0M1.6981.111.47.0-2K0.4%
205021.3M1.6881.910.77.6-2K0.3%
205521.6M1.6782.710.18.2-2K0.2%
206021.7M1.6783.49.78.9-2K0.1%
206521.7M1.6684.09.39.7-2K0.0%
207021.6M1.6584.79.110.5-2K-0.1%
207521.4M1.6585.38.811.3-2K-0.2%
208021.1M1.6585.98.612.1-2K-0.4%
208520.7M1.6586.48.412.7-2K-0.4%
209020.2M1.6487.08.313.2-2K-0.5%
209519.6M1.6587.58.213.6-2K-0.5%
210019.1M1.6588.08.213.9-2K-0.6%