Humanity Forecast
← Back to all countries
Gambia flag

Gambia

The smallest country on mainland Africa, Gambia is a narrow sliver of land following the Gambia River, almost entirely surrounded by Senegal. The capital Banjul sits on an island at the river's mouth. Once a center of the West African slave trade, Gambia is now known for its bird-watching tourism and peanut exports. The country transitioned to democracy in 2017 after decades of authoritarian rule.

Major cities: Banjul, Serekunda, Brikama, Bakau

2024
2.8M
UN
2050
4.3M
UN
2100
5.7M
UN
~2200
5.0M
GPU
~2500
1.0M
GPU
Population2.8M
Fertility (TFR)3.91
Life expectancy66.1
Median age18.2
Infant mortality33.8 per 1,000
Pop. density267/km²
Urbanization64%
Youth share (0-14)41%
Land area10,120 km²
LanguageEnglish
ReligionMuslim
HDI0.524 (#170)
RegionAfrica

Latest available year is shown in parentheses where the source series varies across indicators. Governance metrics use World Bank percentile ranks; battle deaths and military spending are context variables, not direct fertility drivers.

UN WPP 2024 — verified data through 2100
YearPopulationTFRLife Exp.CBRCDRNet MigrationGrowth
1950307K6.3531.249.732.6+2K1.7%
1955349K6.3332.450.931.3+2K2.0%
1960398K6.2534.650.429.3+2K2.1%
1965456K6.1937.149.026.7+2K2.2%
1970524K6.2639.547.424.2+3K2.3%
1975607K6.4342.247.322.1+3K2.5%
1980714K6.4145.048.220.8+5K2.7%
1985859K6.3648.249.019.0+8K3.0%
19901.05M6.2551.347.716.3+11K3.1%
19951.26M5.9954.345.113.7-3K3.1%
20001.46M5.7256.941.111.3-4K3.0%
20051.67M5.7159.139.79.7-3K3.0%
20101.93M5.5661.238.98.5-2K3.0%
20152.22M5.0063.035.77.5-3K2.8%
20202.52M4.2564.431.56.8-2K2.5%
2024Now2.76M3.9166.129.96.2-3K2.4%
20252.82M3.8066.329.36.2-3K2.3%
20303.13M3.3367.226.56.1-3K2.0%
20353.43M2.9768.024.46.1-3K1.8%
20403.73M2.7168.822.76.2-2K1.6%
20454.02M2.5269.521.16.4-2K1.5%
20504.30M2.3870.219.56.5-2K1.3%
20554.56M2.2670.818.16.8-2K1.1%
20604.80M2.1871.517.07.1-2K1.0%
20655.02M2.1072.116.07.6-1K0.8%
20705.20M2.0372.715.18.1-2K0.7%
20755.36M1.9873.414.38.7-2K0.6%
20805.49M1.9474.013.79.3-2K0.4%
20855.58M1.8974.613.09.9-1K0.3%
20905.65M1.8775.212.510.4-1K0.2%
20955.69M1.8475.812.111.0-1K0.1%
21005.70M1.8276.511.711.4-1K0.0%