Humanity Forecast
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Indonesia

The world's largest archipelago spans over 17,000 islands across Southeast Asia, making Indonesia the fourth most populous country and the most populous Muslim-majority nation. The capital is moving from Jakarta on Java to a new purpose-built city called Nusantara on Borneo. Indonesia's extraordinary biodiversity includes Komodo dragons, orangutans, and the world's second-largest tropical rainforest.

Major cities: Jakarta, Surabaya, Bandung, Medan

2024
283.5M
UN
2050
320.7M
UN
2100
295.5M
UN
~2200
177.0M
GPU
~2500
43.0M
GPU
Population283.5M
Fertility (TFR)2.11
Life expectancy71.3
Median age29.8
Infant mortality17.0 per 1,000
Pop. density149/km²
Urbanization58%
Youth share (0-14)25%
Land area1,892,555 km²
LanguageBahasa Indonesia
ReligionMuslim
HDI0.728 (#113)
RegionAsia

Latest available year is shown in parentheses where the source series varies across indicators. Governance metrics use World Bank percentile ranks; battle deaths and military spending are context variables, not direct fertility drivers.

UN WPP 2024 — verified data through 2100
YearPopulationTFRLife Exp.CBRCDRNet MigrationGrowth
195068.8M5.1140.240.520.9+89K2.0%
195577.3M5.3643.643.619.4+92K2.4%
196088.3M5.5146.844.417.8+102K2.7%
1965101M5.5942.843.320.8-61K2.2%
1970116M5.4953.340.213.6+81K2.7%
1975132M5.0356.036.511.8+56K2.5%
1980149M4.4958.733.710.3+42K2.3%
1985167M3.7361.429.48.9+37K2.1%
1990184M3.1163.225.88.1+12K1.8%
1995200M2.8165.324.07.5-2K1.7%
2000216M2.5066.321.77.4-43K1.4%
2005231M2.4567.521.07.4-77K1.4%
2010246M2.4668.420.47.5-58K1.3%
2015262M2.3569.518.67.5-28K1.1%
2020275M2.1968.816.78.8-19K0.8%
2024Now283M2.1171.315.87.6-38K0.8%
2025286M2.1071.415.57.7-40K0.8%
2030296M2.0172.214.78.2-42K0.6%
2035305M1.9572.914.28.8-48K0.5%
2040312M1.9173.513.69.4-48K0.4%
2045317M1.8774.312.910.0-48K0.3%
2050321M1.8574.912.310.6-45K0.2%
2055322M1.8375.611.711.1-45K0.1%
2060323M1.8176.311.411.5-52K0.0%
2065322M1.8077.011.211.8-53K-0.1%
2070320M1.7877.710.912.0-52K-0.1%
2075318M1.7778.410.612.2-49K-0.2%
2080315M1.7679.210.312.4-43K-0.2%
2085311M1.7579.810.012.6-40K-0.3%
2090306M1.7480.59.812.9-39K-0.3%
2095301M1.7481.29.713.1-40K-0.3%
2100296M1.7381.99.613.2-37K-0.4%