Humanity Forecast
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Iraq flag

Iraq

Situated in Mesopotamia — the 'Cradle of Civilization' — between the Tigris and Euphrates rivers, Iraq is where writing, mathematics, and the first cities emerged. The capital Baghdad was the center of the medieval Islamic Golden Age. Despite decades of conflict and instability, Iraq holds the world's fifth-largest proven oil reserves and is rebuilding its infrastructure and institutions.

Major cities: Baghdad, Basra, Erbil, Mosul

2024
46.0M
UN
2050
71.9M
UN
2100
100.6M
UN
~2200
83.0M
GPU
~2500
23.0M
GPU
Population46.0M
Fertility (TFR)3.22
Life expectancy72.4
Median age20.3
Infant mortality20.8 per 1,000
Pop. density104/km²
Urbanization70%
Youth share (0-14)37%
Land area434,130 km²
LanguageArabic
ReligionMuslim
HDI0.695 (#126)
RegionAsia

Latest available year is shown in parentheses where the source series varies across indicators. Governance metrics use World Bank percentile ranks; battle deaths and military spending are context variables, not direct fertility drivers.

UN WPP 2024 — verified data through 2100
YearPopulationTFRLife Exp.CBRCDRNet MigrationGrowth
19505.65M6.2037.445.926.3+3K2.0%
19556.37M6.0045.041.920.2-2K2.2%
19607.02M5.3051.536.714.5+2K2.2%
19658.20M7.0256.446.713.3+5K3.3%
19709.74M7.0760.545.610.9+1K3.5%
197511.5M6.9161.443.410.0-6K3.3%
198013.6M6.5960.940.59.6+16K3.1%
198515.7M6.2559.839.59.7-200K3.0%
199017.6M5.9357.640.611.1-601K2.9%
199520.8M5.3664.838.07.2+40K3.1%
200024.4M4.9264.936.16.8+88K2.9%
200528.4M4.4564.933.96.6+51K2.7%
201031.0M4.4668.134.65.4+93K2.9%
201537.6M4.0870.031.64.7-22K2.7%
202042.1M3.4269.726.85.0+30K2.2%
2024Now46.0M3.2272.425.64.2-18K2.1%
202547.0M3.1772.525.34.2-1K2.1%
203051.9M2.9773.124.14.4-30K2.0%
203557.0M2.7973.623.04.6-30K1.8%
204062.2M2.6674.121.54.9+2K1.7%
204567.2M2.5474.719.95.3-30K1.5%
205071.9M2.4575.318.65.6-26K1.3%
205576.4M2.3575.917.56.0-14K1.1%
206080.5M2.2776.516.66.4+17K1.0%
206584.5M2.2177.116.06.8-20K0.9%
207088.0M2.1577.815.27.2-36K0.8%
207591.1M2.0978.414.47.6-85K0.7%
208093.8M2.0579.013.78.1-26K0.6%
208596.1M2.0179.713.18.6+7K0.5%
209098.0M1.9780.312.79.0-47K0.4%
209599.5M1.9481.012.39.4-27K0.3%
2100101M1.9181.611.99.8-42K0.2%