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Kenya
A major East African nation straddling the equator, Kenya is renowned for its spectacular wildlife and the Maasai Mara savanna that hosts the Great Migration. The capital Nairobi is East Africa's commercial and financial hub and the only capital city with a national park within its boundaries. Kenya is the world's leading exporter of black tea and cut flowers.
Major cities: Nairobi, Mombasa, Kisumu, Nakuru
2024
56.4M
UN
2050
83.6M
UN
2100
104.2M
UN
~2200
73.0M
GPU
~2500
11.0M
GPU
Population56.4M
Fertility (TFR)3.17
Life expectancy63.8
Median age19.5
Infant mortality34.7 per 1,000
Pop. density95/km²
Urbanization32%
Youth share (0-14)37%
Land area580,876 km²
LanguageEnglish
ReligionChristian
HDI0.628 (#143)
RegionAfrica
Latest available year is shown in parentheses where the source series varies across indicators. Governance metrics use World Bank percentile ranks; battle deaths and military spending are context variables, not direct fertility drivers.
UN WPP 2024 — verified data through 2100
| Year | Population | TFR | Life Exp. | CBR | CDR | Net Migration | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 5.77M | 7.39 | 36.9 | 49.3 | 30.5 | +6K | 1.9% |
| 1955 | 6.53M | 7.46 | 42.3 | 53.8 | 24.1 | -4K | 3.0% |
| 1960 | 7.70M | 7.65 | 48.5 | 55.2 | 18.8 | +2K | 3.6% |
| 1965 | 9.34M | 7.92 | 51.9 | 54.9 | 15.7 | +9K | 3.9% |
| 1970 | 11.4M | 7.94 | 54.1 | 52.5 | 13.6 | -13K | 3.9% |
| 1975 | 13.5M | 7.80 | 56.6 | 49.8 | 11.5 | -71K | 3.8% |
| 1980 | 16.0M | 7.53 | 59.2 | 48.2 | 9.7 | -40K | 3.8% |
| 1985 | 19.2M | 6.96 | 60.9 | 46.9 | 8.7 | -35K | 3.8% |
| 1990 | 22.9M | 6.14 | 58.3 | 43.9 | 9.5 | -11K | 3.4% |
| 1995 | 26.6M | 5.37 | 55.9 | 40.8 | 10.3 | -76K | 3.1% |
| 2000 | 30.6M | 5.14 | 56.1 | 40.2 | 9.9 | +5K | 3.0% |
| 2005 | 35.8M | 4.80 | 58.5 | 38.8 | 8.6 | +6K | 3.0% |
| 2010 | 41.6M | 4.45 | 60.9 | 36.3 | 7.4 | -21K | 2.9% |
| 2015 | 47.1M | 3.77 | 62.3 | 30.9 | 7.1 | -96K | 2.4% |
| 2020 | 52.2M | 3.36 | 61.6 | 27.8 | 7.9 | -17K | 2.0% |
| 2024Now | 56.4M | 3.17 | 63.8 | 27.0 | 7.2 | -20K | 2.0% |
| 2025 | 57.5M | 3.12 | 64.0 | 26.8 | 7.1 | -27K | 2.0% |
| 2030 | 63.1M | 2.92 | 64.9 | 25.8 | 7.1 | -53K | 1.9% |
| 2035 | 68.7M | 2.75 | 65.7 | 24.2 | 7.1 | -66K | 1.7% |
| 2040 | 74.1M | 2.61 | 66.5 | 22.3 | 7.3 | -68K | 1.5% |
| 2045 | 79.1M | 2.47 | 67.2 | 20.4 | 7.5 | -80K | 1.3% |
| 2050 | 83.6M | 2.36 | 67.9 | 19.1 | 7.8 | -81K | 1.1% |
| 2055 | 87.7M | 2.26 | 68.5 | 18.2 | 8.2 | -89K | 1.0% |
| 2060 | 91.6M | 2.18 | 69.2 | 17.4 | 8.5 | -80K | 0.9% |
| 2065 | 95.0M | 2.10 | 69.8 | 16.5 | 9.0 | -90K | 0.8% |
| 2070 | 97.8M | 2.04 | 70.4 | 15.5 | 9.4 | -92K | 0.6% |
| 2075 | 100M | 2.00 | 71.1 | 14.8 | 9.9 | -100K | 0.5% |
| 2080 | 102M | 1.95 | 71.7 | 14.1 | 10.4 | -88K | 0.4% |
| 2085 | 103M | 1.92 | 72.4 | 13.6 | 10.8 | -91K | 0.3% |
| 2090 | 104M | 1.89 | 73.0 | 13.2 | 11.2 | -82K | 0.2% |
| 2095 | 104M | 1.86 | 73.7 | 12.8 | 11.5 | -88K | 0.1% |
| 2100 | 104M | 1.84 | 74.4 | 12.3 | 11.7 | -97K | 0.1% |