Humanity Forecast
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Libya

A vast North African country on the Mediterranean coast, Libya is over 90% desert and holds Africa's largest proven oil reserves. The capital Tripoli dates back to the 7th century BC as a Phoenician trading post. Since the 2011 overthrow of longtime leader Muammar Gaddafi, Libya has been engulfed in political fragmentation and civil conflict between rival governments.

Major cities: Tripoli, Benghazi, Misrata, Tarhuna

2024
7.4M
UN
2050
9.3M
UN
2100
9.8M
UN
~2200
7.0M
GPU
~2500
3.0M
GPU
Population7.4M
Fertility (TFR)2.30
Life expectancy71.1
Median age27.2
Infant mortality15.9 per 1,000
Pop. density4/km²
Urbanization88%
Youth share (0-14)28%
Land area1,759,540 km²
LanguageArabic
ReligionMuslim
HDI0.721 (#115)
RegionAfrica

Latest available year is shown in parentheses where the source series varies across indicators. Governance metrics use World Bank percentile ranks; battle deaths and military spending are context variables, not direct fertility drivers.

UN WPP 2024 — verified data through 2100
YearPopulationTFRLife Exp.CBRCDRNet MigrationGrowth
19501.13M7.0133.149.132.5-6K1.7%
19551.24M7.2435.250.730.8+15K2.0%
19601.49M7.5140.851.325.6+23K2.6%
19651.80M7.8249.351.118.3-16K3.3%
19702.08M8.0556.446.412.5+1K3.4%
19752.57M7.9861.645.99.0+50K3.7%
19803.42M7.5464.844.47.0+67K3.7%
19853.90M6.3367.333.75.4+12K2.8%
19904.45M4.7869.327.04.6+1K2.2%
19954.91M3.4470.622.24.3-5K1.8%
20005.31M2.9170.521.74.8+6K1.7%
20055.86M2.7671.423.94.6+11K1.9%
20106.50M2.6072.223.54.6+10K1.9%
20156.53M2.7171.621.95.4-8K1.7%
20207.05M2.5172.418.75.5-1K1.3%
2024Now7.38M2.3071.116.56.5+3K1.0%
20257.46M2.2573.216.15.6-0K1.0%
20307.89M2.0875.915.05.2+8K1.0%
20358.28M1.9776.814.65.7+1K0.9%
20408.65M1.9077.614.26.3+2K0.8%
20458.98M1.8578.513.67.0+5K0.7%
20509.26M1.8279.312.67.7+7K0.5%
20559.49M1.7980.111.68.5+3K0.3%
20609.63M1.7781.011.09.2+2K0.2%
20659.72M1.7681.810.89.7+9K0.1%
20709.81M1.7582.510.79.9+9K0.1%
20759.88M1.7483.310.510.0+6K0.1%
20809.93M1.7484.010.210.1+8K0.0%
20859.97M1.7384.79.810.3+12K-0.1%
20909.94M1.7285.39.410.8-2K-0.1%
20959.87M1.7286.09.211.4+10K-0.2%
21009.78M1.7286.69.211.9+7K-0.3%