Humanity Forecast
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Lithuania flag

Lithuania

The southernmost and largest of the three Baltic states, Lithuania has a proud history as the center of a medieval Grand Duchy that once stretched from the Baltic to the Black Sea. The capital Vilnius is known for its Baroque Old Town, a UNESCO World Heritage Site. Lithuania was the first Soviet republic to declare independence in 1990 and joined the EU in 2004.

Major cities: Vilnius, Kaunas, Klaipėda, Šiauliai

2024
2.9M
UN
2050
2.3M
UN
2100
1.2M
UN
~2200
1.0M
GPU
~2500
1.0M
GPU
Population2.9M
Fertility (TFR)1.21
Life expectancy76.2
Median age42.1
Infant mortality2.8 per 1,000
Pop. density46/km²
Urbanization69%
Youth share (0-14)15%
Land area62,600 km²
LanguageLithuanian 82%
ReligionChristian
HDI0.895 (#39)
RegionEurope

Latest available year is shown in parentheses where the source series varies across indicators. Governance metrics use World Bank percentile ranks; battle deaths and military spending are context variables, not direct fertility drivers.

UN WPP 2024 — verified data through 2100
YearPopulationTFRLife Exp.CBRCDRNet MigrationGrowth
19502.43M2.7166.122.011.80K1.0%
19552.58M2.5766.622.09.90K1.2%
19602.77M2.6270.322.77.7+2K1.5%
19652.97M2.2371.718.27.8+4K1.0%
19703.14M2.4071.117.68.9+7K0.9%
19753.30M2.1771.115.69.4+8K0.6%
19803.43M2.0070.715.010.4+7K0.5%
19853.56M2.1070.716.411.0+9K0.5%
19903.70M2.0371.415.410.8-9K0.5%
19953.63M1.5569.011.412.5-24K-0.1%
20003.50M1.3872.19.811.2-16K-0.1%
20053.32M1.2971.29.013.2-51K-0.4%
20103.10M1.5073.210.313.6-79K-0.3%
20152.91M1.7174.510.914.4-23K-0.3%
20202.80M1.4975.19.015.6+20K-0.7%
2024Now2.86M1.2176.27.814.1+3K-0.6%
20252.83M1.2276.37.814.1-25K-0.6%
20302.71M1.2577.17.414.3-3K-0.7%
20352.60M1.2877.97.114.6-2K-0.8%
20402.48M1.3178.67.115.2-2K-0.8%
20452.37M1.3379.47.315.9-2K-0.9%
20502.26M1.3580.27.216.6-2K-0.9%
20552.14M1.3780.96.717.0-2K-1.0%
20602.02M1.3981.76.317.1-2K-1.1%
20651.90M1.4082.46.117.2-2K-1.1%
20701.79M1.4183.16.217.6-1K-1.1%
20751.69M1.4283.76.418.3-1K-1.2%
20801.58M1.4384.46.519.1-1K-1.3%
20851.48M1.4485.06.419.4-1K-1.3%
20901.38M1.4485.66.119.1-1K-1.3%
20951.29M1.4586.26.118.6-1K-1.3%
21001.21M1.4586.86.118.5-1K-1.2%