Humanity Forecast
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Marshall Islands flag

Marshall Islands

A scattered archipelago of 29 coral atolls and 5 isolated islands in the central Pacific Ocean, the Marshall Islands straddles the equator between Hawaii and Australia. The capital Majuro is one of the most densely populated atolls. The islands were the site of US nuclear testing at Bikini and Enewetak atolls during the Cold War. Rising sea levels pose an existential threat to this low-lying nation.

Major cities: Majuro, Ebeye, Jabor, Wotje

2024
38K
UN
2050
25K
UN
2100
24K
UN
~2200
1.0M
GPU
~2500
1.0M
GPU
Population38K
Fertility (TFR)2.86
Life expectancy67.1
Median age23.8
Infant mortality16.0 per 1,000
Pop. density297/km²
Urbanization78%
Land area181 km²
LanguageMarshallese
ReligionProtestant
HDI0.639 (#131)
RegionOceania

Latest available year is shown in parentheses where the source series varies across indicators. Governance metrics use World Bank percentile ranks; battle deaths and military spending are context variables, not direct fertility drivers.

UN WPP 2024 — verified data through 2100
YearPopulationTFRLife Exp.CBRCDRNet MigrationGrowth
195013K7.7652.646.617.9-0K2.9%
195513K7.9153.047.417.3-0K3.0%
196015K8.0854.446.916.1+0K3.1%
196517K8.1656.846.614.1-0K3.3%
197023K8.0858.847.711.3+0K3.6%
197526K7.8360.350.910.6-0K4.0%
198031K7.3761.051.19.3-0K4.2%
198538K6.8761.748.28.2-0K4.0%
199045K5.9761.842.47.6-1K3.5%
199548K5.0962.538.57.0-1K3.2%
200051K4.7063.338.26.7-1K3.1%
200552K4.2864.137.26.6-1K3.1%
201052K3.6764.530.96.5-1K2.4%
201549K3.1365.325.26.5-2K1.9%
202043K2.9965.423.47.3-2K1.6%
2024Now38K2.8667.120.17.1-2K1.3%
202536K2.8267.219.77.3-2K1.2%
203031K2.6067.819.98.4-1K1.2%
203528K2.4468.421.89.4-1K1.2%
204027K2.3169.122.410.1-1K1.2%
204526K2.2169.620.310.6-0K1.0%
205025K2.1170.117.510.8-0K0.7%
205525K2.0370.615.710.7-0K0.5%
206024K1.9771.015.310.3-0K0.5%
206524K1.9371.515.39.6-0K0.6%
207024K1.8972.114.98.7-0K0.6%
207525K1.8572.713.68.2-0K0.5%
208025K1.8273.312.38.6-0K0.4%
208525K1.8074.011.410.0-0K0.1%
209025K1.7874.711.111.8-0K-0.1%
209524K1.7675.311.113.2-0K-0.2%
210024K1.7576.011.013.8-0K-0.3%