Humanity Forecast
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New Zealand flag

New Zealand

An island nation in the southwestern Pacific, New Zealand comprises two main islands renowned for dramatic landscapes — from volcanic plateaus and fjords to rainforests and glaciers. The capital Wellington sits on a harbor at the North Island's southern tip, while Auckland is the largest city. New Zealand was the first country to grant women the vote (1893) and has a strong Māori cultural heritage.

Major cities: Auckland, Wellington, Christchurch, Hamilton

2024
5.2M
UN
2050
5.8M
UN
2100
5.8M
UN
~2200
5.0M
GPU
~2500
3.0M
GPU
Population5.2M
Fertility (TFR)1.66
Life expectancy82.2
Median age37.3
Infant mortality4.0 per 1,000
Pop. density20/km²
Urbanization84%
Youth share (0-14)18%
Land area263,310 km²
LanguageEnglish
ReligionChristian
HDI0.938 (#17)
RegionOceania

Latest available year is shown in parentheses where the source series varies across indicators. Governance metrics use World Bank percentile ranks; battle deaths and military spending are context variables, not direct fertility drivers.

UN WPP 2024 — verified data through 2100
YearPopulationTFRLife Exp.CBRCDRNet MigrationGrowth
19501.91M3.5569.325.79.4+6K1.6%
19552.14M3.8870.525.88.9+8K1.7%
19602.38M4.2471.226.58.7+4K1.8%
19652.64M3.5471.222.78.6+9K1.4%
19702.82M3.1771.222.08.7+5K1.3%
19753.09M2.3672.218.18.0+13K1.0%
19803.15M2.0372.916.18.4-15K0.8%
19853.27M1.9373.915.98.4-13K0.8%
19903.40M2.1775.417.67.8+70K1.0%
19953.67M1.9876.815.67.6+27K0.8%
20003.86M1.9878.714.77.0-7K0.8%
20054.14M1.9680.013.86.6+19K0.7%
20104.35M2.1781.114.66.6+7K0.8%
20154.61M1.9881.613.06.9+71K0.6%
20205.07M1.6382.711.36.5+42K0.5%
2024Now5.21M1.6682.211.37.4+19K0.4%
20255.25M1.6582.411.17.5+17K0.4%
20305.41M1.6283.110.47.9+12K0.2%
20355.52M1.6283.810.18.6+12K0.2%
20405.62M1.6284.410.29.2+13K0.1%
20455.70M1.6185.110.19.8+12K0.0%
20505.76M1.6285.79.810.2+14K0.0%
20555.80M1.6286.29.510.5+14K-0.1%
20605.83M1.6186.89.210.5+11K-0.1%
20655.85M1.6187.39.110.5+12K-0.1%
20705.86M1.6287.99.010.5+10K-0.2%
20755.87M1.6188.49.010.8+11K-0.2%
20805.86M1.6288.99.011.2+11K-0.2%
20855.85M1.6289.48.911.4+11K-0.3%
20905.84M1.6290.08.811.2+13K-0.2%
20955.83M1.6390.58.711.0+12K-0.2%
21005.81M1.6391.08.711.3+11K-0.3%