Humanity Forecast
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Oman flag

Oman

A sultanate on the southeastern corner of the Arabian Peninsula, Oman has a seafaring heritage dating back thousands of years and has often followed a more cautious regional posture than many of its Gulf neighbors. The capital Muscat sits between mountains and the Arabian Sea. Oman's diverse landscapes include dramatic wadis, the vast Rub' al Khali desert, and the green Dhofar region that catches monsoon rains.

Major cities: Muscat, Salalah, Sohar, Nizwa

2024
5.3M
UN
2050
7.8M
UN
2100
12.1M
UN
~2200
9.0M
GPU
~2500
5.0M
GPU
Population5.3M
Fertility (TFR)2.51
Life expectancy80.2
Median age29.3
Infant mortality8.4 per 1,000
Pop. density16/km²
Urbanization80%
Youth share (0-14)25%
Land area309,500 km²
LanguageArabic
ReligionMuslim
HDI0.858 (#50)
RegionAsia

Latest available year is shown in parentheses where the source series varies across indicators. Governance metrics use World Bank percentile ranks; battle deaths and military spending are context variables, not direct fertility drivers.

UN WPP 2024 — verified data through 2100
YearPopulationTFRLife Exp.CBRCDRNet MigrationGrowth
1950457K7.2629.352.035.3-2K1.7%
1955489K7.2331.852.033.3-2K1.9%
1960530K7.2835.452.830.1-3K2.3%
1965585K7.3940.852.825.2-3K2.8%
1970663K7.5246.651.520.0-3K3.2%
1975779K7.7152.550.715.1+6K3.6%
19801.00M7.8959.651.610.6+13K4.1%
19851.33M7.5165.348.37.1+34K4.1%
19901.76M6.4669.036.54.8+32K3.2%
19952.12M5.0771.627.93.8-13K2.4%
20002.28M3.8573.623.83.2-19K2.1%
20052.46M3.0375.120.92.8+10K1.8%
20102.76M2.9777.223.42.5+29K2.1%
20154.18M2.9779.321.02.1+134K1.9%
20204.52M2.6477.818.92.4-172K1.6%
2024Now5.28M2.5180.216.81.9+154K1.5%
20255.49M2.4880.516.41.9+114K1.5%
20306.11M2.2981.414.61.8+4K1.3%
20356.52M2.1482.413.61.8+4K1.2%
20406.93M2.0383.313.51.9+4K1.2%
20457.37M1.9684.113.52.0+5K1.2%
20507.83M1.9184.913.42.2+5K1.1%
20558.29M1.8785.513.02.4+5K1.1%
20608.75M1.8486.212.42.7+5K1.0%
20659.19M1.8286.812.03.1+5K0.9%
20709.62M1.8087.411.73.6+5K0.8%
207510.0M1.7887.911.63.9+5K0.8%
208010.4M1.7688.411.54.2+5K0.7%
208510.9M1.7588.911.44.2+5K0.7%
209011.3M1.7589.411.34.3+5K0.7%
209511.7M1.7489.911.14.4+5K0.7%
210012.1M1.7490.410.94.7+5K0.6%