Humanity Forecast
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Portugal flag

Portugal

Europe's westernmost mainland nation on the Iberian Peninsula, Portugal was a global maritime power in the 15th and 16th centuries, establishing trade routes and colonies from Brazil to Macau. The capital Lisbon, set on seven hills along the Tagus River, has become one of Europe's trendiest cities. Portugal is famous for port wine, fado music, and pastéis de nata custard tarts.

Major cities: Lisbon, Porto, Braga, Coimbra

2024
10.4M
UN
2050
9.8M
UN
2100
8.8M
UN
~2200
7.0M
GPU
~2500
3.0M
GPU
Population10.4M
Fertility (TFR)1.51
Life expectancy82.6
Median age46.2
Infant mortality2.6 per 1,000
Pop. density115/km²
Urbanization61%
Youth share (0-14)13%
Land area91,606 km²
LanguagePortuguese
ReligionChristian
HDI0.890 (#40)
RegionEurope

Latest available year is shown in parentheses where the source series varies across indicators. Governance metrics use World Bank percentile ranks; battle deaths and military spending are context variables, not direct fertility drivers.

UN WPP 2024 — verified data through 2100
YearPopulationTFRLife Exp.CBRCDRNet MigrationGrowth
19508.42M3.1658.524.412.4-36K1.2%
19558.66M3.1361.424.311.5-62K1.3%
19608.87M3.1664.124.210.7-96K1.4%
19658.89M3.1666.123.310.5-124K1.3%
19708.67M3.0167.121.110.7-192K1.0%
19759.18M2.7568.819.510.3+42K0.9%
19809.76M2.2571.716.29.3+30K0.7%
19859.98M1.7373.212.99.4-19K0.3%
19909.99M1.5674.311.710.0-35K0.2%
199510.0M1.4175.510.710.0+27K0.1%
200010.3M1.5476.811.610.0+61K0.2%
200510.5M1.4178.310.410.0+16K0.0%
201010.6M1.3880.19.59.7-6K0.0%
201510.4M1.3081.38.210.3-3K-0.2%
202010.4M1.4181.48.011.7+54K-0.4%
2024Now10.4M1.5182.68.311.3+21K-0.3%
202510.4M1.5282.78.211.4+16K-0.3%
203010.3M1.5383.58.211.8+18K-0.4%
203510.2M1.5584.28.512.4+17K-0.4%
204010.1M1.5684.98.612.9+15K-0.4%
20459.94M1.5785.68.613.4+16K-0.5%
20509.77M1.5786.28.513.8+17K-0.5%
20559.58M1.5886.88.514.1+15K-0.6%
20609.40M1.5887.48.614.3+16K-0.6%
20659.22M1.5987.98.914.3+17K-0.5%
20709.06M1.5988.59.113.9+17K-0.5%
20758.94M1.6089.19.213.1+16K-0.4%
20808.87M1.6089.79.112.1+15K-0.3%
20858.83M1.6090.29.011.4+15K-0.2%
20908.80M1.6190.88.911.1+15K-0.2%
20958.78M1.6191.38.911.1+12K-0.2%
21008.75M1.6191.99.011.1+15K-0.2%