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Samoa
A Polynesian island nation in the South Pacific, Samoa consists of two main islands (Upolu and Savai'i) of volcanic origin covered in lush tropical rainforest. The capital Apia on Upolu was the final home of Scottish writer Robert Louis Stevenson. Samoa maintains strong fa'a Samoa (Samoan Way) cultural traditions and was the first Pacific island nation to gain independence in 1962.
Major cities: Apia, Vaitele, Faleula, Siusega
2024
218K
UN
2050
273K
UN
2100
384K
UN
~2200
1.0M
GPU
~2500
1.0M
GPU
Population218K
Fertility (TFR)3.80
Life expectancy71.8
Median age19.9
Infant mortality12.8 per 1,000
Pop. density78/km²
Urbanization18%
Youth share (0-14)39%
Land area2,780 km²
LanguageSamoan
ReligionChristian
HDI0.708 (#122)
RegionOceania
Latest available year is shown in parentheses where the source series varies across indicators. Governance metrics use World Bank percentile ranks; battle deaths and military spending are context variables, not direct fertility drivers.
UN WPP 2024 — verified data through 2100
| Year | Population | TFR | Life Exp. | CBR | CDR | Net Migration | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 88K | 7.55 | 49.2 | 53.4 | 16.4 | -1K | 3.7% |
| 1955 | 99K | 7.71 | 52.2 | 52.7 | 14.7 | -2K | 3.8% |
| 1960 | 112K | 7.78 | 55.2 | 51.0 | 12.8 | -1K | 3.8% |
| 1965 | 128K | 7.65 | 57.9 | 46.5 | 10.5 | -2K | 3.6% |
| 1970 | 140K | 7.34 | 60.4 | 41.3 | 8.8 | -2K | 3.3% |
| 1975 | 153K | 6.61 | 62.8 | 36.6 | 7.5 | -1K | 2.9% |
| 1980 | 164K | 5.86 | 65.0 | 35.1 | 6.6 | -3K | 2.8% |
| 1985 | 167K | 5.49 | 66.6 | 36.2 | 6.3 | -5K | 3.0% |
| 1990 | 169K | 5.01 | 67.8 | 34.1 | 6.0 | -5K | 2.8% |
| 1995 | 175K | 4.77 | 69.5 | 34.1 | 5.6 | -4K | 2.9% |
| 2000 | 182K | 4.52 | 70.8 | 32.1 | 5.3 | -3K | 2.7% |
| 2005 | 187K | 4.32 | 71.5 | 29.5 | 5.4 | -4K | 2.4% |
| 2010 | 193K | 4.52 | 71.5 | 30.5 | 5.8 | -3K | 2.5% |
| 2015 | 202K | 4.34 | 71.1 | 29.8 | 6.1 | -3K | 2.4% |
| 2020 | 212K | 4.00 | 70.7 | 27.5 | 6.5 | -2K | 2.1% |
| 2024Now | 218K | 3.80 | 71.8 | 25.0 | 6.2 | -3K | 1.9% |
| 2025 | 219K | 3.75 | 71.9 | 24.6 | 6.2 | -3K | 1.8% |
| 2030 | 226K | 3.54 | 72.6 | 24.5 | 6.3 | -3K | 1.8% |
| 2035 | 235K | 3.35 | 73.2 | 25.5 | 6.5 | -2K | 1.9% |
| 2040 | 247K | 3.17 | 73.9 | 25.8 | 6.5 | -2K | 1.9% |
| 2045 | 260K | 3.01 | 74.5 | 24.3 | 6.5 | -2K | 1.8% |
| 2050 | 273K | 2.86 | 75.2 | 22.1 | 6.4 | -2K | 1.6% |
| 2055 | 284K | 2.75 | 75.8 | 20.4 | 6.3 | -2K | 1.4% |
| 2060 | 296K | 2.63 | 76.5 | 19.6 | 6.1 | -2K | 1.4% |
| 2065 | 308K | 2.52 | 77.2 | 19.2 | 6.0 | -1K | 1.3% |
| 2070 | 322K | 2.43 | 77.8 | 18.5 | 5.9 | -1K | 1.3% |
| 2075 | 336K | 2.34 | 78.5 | 17.3 | 6.0 | -1K | 1.1% |
| 2080 | 348K | 2.27 | 79.1 | 16.0 | 6.2 | -1K | 1.0% |
| 2085 | 359K | 2.21 | 79.8 | 15.0 | 6.6 | -1K | 0.8% |
| 2090 | 368K | 2.15 | 80.4 | 14.4 | 7.1 | -1K | 0.7% |
| 2095 | 377K | 2.10 | 81.1 | 13.9 | 7.7 | -1K | 0.6% |
| 2100 | 384K | 2.06 | 81.7 | 13.4 | 8.4 | -1K | 0.5% |