Humanity Forecast
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Tuvalu flag

Tuvalu

The world's fourth-smallest country by area and second-least-populous UN member state, Tuvalu is a Polynesian island nation of nine tiny atolls in the central Pacific. The capital Funafuti has a maximum elevation of just 4.6 meters above sea level. Tuvalu famously earns significant revenue from its internet country code domain '.tv,' which it licenses to television-related websites. Climate change and rising seas threaten the nation's very existence.

Major cities: Funafuti, Nanumea, Vaitupu, Niutao

2024
10K
UN
2050
10K
UN
2100
12K
UN
~2200
1.0M
GPU
~2500
1.0M
GPU
Population10K
Fertility (TFR)3.17
Life expectancy67.3
Median age26.3
Infant mortality18.0 per 1,000
Pop. density393/km²
Urbanization66%
Land area26 km²
LanguageTuvaluan
ReligionProtestant
HDI0.641 (#130)
RegionOceania

Latest available year is shown in parentheses where the source series varies across indicators. Governance metrics use World Bank percentile ranks; battle deaths and military spending are context variables, not direct fertility drivers.

UN WPP 2024 — verified data through 2100
YearPopulationTFRLife Exp.CBRCDRNet MigrationGrowth
1950<10K5.4240.047.825.3+0K2.3%
1955<10K5.3644.246.622.2-0K2.4%
1960<10K5.1548.340.818.3-0K2.2%
1965<10K4.7352.131.014.8-0K1.6%
1970<10K4.0855.330.512.5-0K1.8%
1975<10K3.5858.328.510.9+0K1.8%
1980<10K3.7360.233.710.30K2.3%
1985<10K3.9761.137.510.8-0K2.7%
1990<10K3.7561.633.710.6-0K2.3%
1995<10K3.9662.530.810.3-0K2.1%
2000<10K3.8463.526.610.0-0K1.7%
2005<10K3.5564.122.79.6-0K1.3%
201011K3.4464.822.29.4+0K1.3%
201511K3.3165.423.39.4-0K1.4%
202010K3.3166.424.69.2-0K1.5%
2024Now<10K3.1767.322.09.3-0K1.3%
2025<10K3.1467.421.29.4-0K1.2%
2030<10K2.9768.119.09.8-0K0.9%
2035<10K2.8268.819.510.2-0K0.9%
2040<10K2.6969.420.610.4-0K1.0%
2045<10K2.5870.120.610.2-0K1.0%
2050<10K2.4870.719.39.8-0K0.9%
205510K2.3871.417.59.2-0K0.8%
206010K2.3172.116.38.7-0K0.8%
206511K2.2572.815.98.5-0K0.7%
207011K2.1973.415.88.6-0K0.7%
207511K2.1474.215.48.8-0K0.7%
208012K2.0974.914.69.0-0K0.6%
208512K2.0475.613.79.4-0K0.4%
209012K2.0176.313.09.8-0K0.3%
209512K1.9877.012.710.4-0K0.2%
210012K1.9577.712.510.9-0K0.2%