Humanity Forecast
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Ukraine

The largest country entirely within Europe by area, Ukraine has vast, fertile steppes that earned it the title 'breadbasket of Europe.' The capital Kyiv, on the Dnieper River, traces its history over 1,500 years to the Kyivan Rus'. Since Russia's full-scale invasion in February 2022, Ukraine has been defending its sovereignty in the largest land war in Europe since World War II.

Major cities: Kyiv, Kharkiv, Odesa, Dnipro

2024
37.9M
UN
2050
32.0M
UN
2100
15.2M
UN
~2200
5.0M
GPU
~2500
1.0M
GPU
Population37.9M
Fertility (TFR)0.99
Life expectancy74.7
Median age42.0
Infant mortality7.8 per 1,000
Pop. density65/km²
Urbanization69%
Youth share (0-14)14%
Land area579,400 km²
LanguageUkrainian 67%
ReligionChristian
HDI0.779 (#87)
RegionEurope

Latest available year is shown in parentheses where the source series varies across indicators. Governance metrics use World Bank percentile ranks; battle deaths and military spending are context variables, not direct fertility drivers.

UN WPP 2024 — verified data through 2100
YearPopulationTFRLife Exp.CBRCDRNet MigrationGrowth
195037.3M2.4561.222.912.2+96K1.1%
195539.9M2.3165.320.710.1+131K1.1%
196042.8M2.2869.420.88.2+52K1.3%
196545.4M1.9471.115.37.9+69K0.7%
197047.3M2.0870.815.08.9-48K0.6%
197548.9M2.0570.415.19.9+15K0.5%
198050.0M1.9569.815.011.0+47K0.4%
198551.1M2.0370.415.411.5+6K0.4%
199052.1M1.8470.413.112.2+76K0.1%
199551.7M1.4067.19.715.1-134K-0.5%
200049.6M1.1167.87.815.2-68K-0.7%
200547.6M1.2267.59.116.2-111K-0.7%
201046.5M1.4470.210.914.8+16K-0.4%
201545.8M1.3972.79.813.0-22K-0.3%
202044.7M1.2173.37.614.4-4K-0.7%
2024Now37.9M0.9974.75.513.6+1,146K-0.8%
202539.0M1.0074.95.613.3+1,702K-0.8%
203038.4M1.0375.76.113.9-5K-0.8%
203536.8M1.0676.46.314.6-2K-0.8%
204035.3M1.0977.26.515.3+1K-0.9%
204533.7M1.1178.06.416.1-2K-1.0%
205032.0M1.1478.85.916.8-3K-1.1%
205530.2M1.1679.65.217.4-2K-1.2%
206028.3M1.1880.34.918.1-1K-1.3%
206526.4M1.2081.05.019.0-2K-1.4%
207024.6M1.2281.75.220.0-2K-1.5%
207522.8M1.2382.45.420.8-2K-1.5%
208021.1M1.2583.15.421.3-2K-1.6%
208519.4M1.2683.75.121.4-1K-1.6%
209017.9M1.2784.44.921.3-1K-1.6%
209516.5M1.2985.05.021.3-1K-1.6%
210015.2M1.3085.65.221.6-1K-1.6%