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United Arab Emirates
A federation of seven emirates on the Arabian Peninsula's Persian Gulf coast, the UAE has transformed from a desert fishing and pearling economy into a global center of commerce, aviation, and luxury tourism in just 50 years. Abu Dhabi is the oil-wealthy capital, while Dubai is a futuristic city of superlatives — home to the world's tallest building (Burj Khalifa) and busiest international airport.
Major cities: Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Sharjah, Al Ain
2024
11.0M
UN
2050
15.4M
UN
2100
26.1M
UN
~2200
19.0M
GPU
~2500
11.0M
GPU
Population11.0M
Fertility (TFR)1.21
Life expectancy83.1
Median age31.2
Infant mortality4.0 per 1,000
Pop. density148/km²
Urbanization86%
Youth share (0-14)16%
Land area71,020 km²
LanguageArabic
ReligionMuslim
HDI0.940 (#15)
RegionAsia
Latest available year is shown in parentheses where the source series varies across indicators. Governance metrics use World Bank percentile ranks; battle deaths and military spending are context variables, not direct fertility drivers.
UN WPP 2024 — verified data through 2100
| Year | Population | TFR | Life Exp. | CBR | CDR | Net Migration | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 75K | 6.50 | 42.1 | 45.6 | 22.3 | +3K | 2.3% |
| 1955 | 101K | 6.50 | 46.0 | 40.9 | 17.6 | +3K | 2.3% |
| 1960 | 131K | 6.50 | 50.7 | 39.9 | 13.9 | +3K | 2.6% |
| 1965 | 167K | 6.50 | 55.5 | 38.9 | 10.9 | +3K | 2.8% |
| 1970 | 287K | 6.52 | 60.8 | 31.1 | 7.0 | +41K | 2.4% |
| 1975 | 543K | 6.35 | 65.1 | 27.2 | 5.4 | +42K | 2.2% |
| 1980 | 1.02M | 5.95 | 68.2 | 28.5 | 3.9 | +78K | 2.5% |
| 1985 | 1.38M | 5.13 | 70.1 | 28.5 | 3.2 | +38K | 2.5% |
| 1990 | 1.90M | 4.51 | 71.1 | 24.6 | 2.8 | +67K | 2.2% |
| 1995 | 2.43M | 3.28 | 71.4 | 18.7 | 2.9 | +69K | 1.6% |
| 2000 | 3.49M | 2.73 | 76.3 | 16.3 | 2.0 | +178K | 1.4% |
| 2005 | 4.66M | 2.23 | 80.8 | 14.3 | 1.5 | +175K | 1.3% |
| 2010 | 6.94M | 1.57 | 81.9 | 11.2 | 1.1 | +162K | 1.0% |
| 2015 | 8.67M | 1.42 | 82.1 | 11.0 | 1.0 | +342K | 1.0% |
| 2020 | 9.45M | 1.29 | 81.9 | 10.5 | 1.1 | +93K | 0.9% |
| 2024Now | 11.0M | 1.21 | 83.1 | 9.8 | 1.0 | +278K | 0.9% |
| 2025 | 11.3M | 1.21 | 83.2 | 10.1 | 1.0 | +159K | 0.9% |
| 2030 | 12.2M | 1.23 | 84.0 | 11.3 | 0.9 | +8K | 1.0% |
| 2035 | 12.9M | 1.26 | 84.7 | 12.0 | 0.9 | +8K | 1.1% |
| 2040 | 13.7M | 1.28 | 85.4 | 12.0 | 0.9 | +9K | 1.1% |
| 2045 | 14.5M | 1.31 | 86.0 | 11.7 | 1.0 | +9K | 1.1% |
| 2050 | 15.4M | 1.33 | 86.6 | 11.5 | 1.1 | +14K | 1.0% |
| 2055 | 16.3M | 1.34 | 87.1 | 11.6 | 1.1 | +13K | 1.0% |
| 2060 | 17.2M | 1.36 | 87.6 | 11.9 | 1.1 | +10K | 1.1% |
| 2065 | 18.2M | 1.37 | 88.1 | 12.2 | 1.1 | +10K | 1.1% |
| 2070 | 19.3M | 1.39 | 88.7 | 12.3 | 1.1 | +9K | 1.1% |
| 2075 | 20.5M | 1.40 | 89.1 | 12.2 | 1.4 | +8K | 1.1% |
| 2080 | 21.6M | 1.41 | 89.6 | 12.1 | 1.9 | +8K | 1.0% |
| 2085 | 22.7M | 1.42 | 90.1 | 12.1 | 2.6 | +7K | 0.9% |
| 2090 | 23.9M | 1.44 | 90.6 | 12.1 | 3.1 | +6K | 0.9% |
| 2095 | 25.0M | 1.45 | 91.1 | 12.3 | 3.4 | +6K | 0.9% |
| 2100 | 26.1M | 1.46 | 91.6 | 12.4 | 3.5 | +5K | 0.9% |