Humanity Forecast
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Vanuatu flag

Vanuatu

A South Pacific archipelago of 83 volcanic islands, Vanuatu is one of the most culturally and linguistically diverse nations per capita, with over 100 indigenous languages. The capital Port Vila on Efate island blends Melanesian and French-British colonial influences. Vanuatu is home to one of the world's most accessible active volcanoes (Mount Yasur on Tanna) and pioneered bungee jumping with its traditional land diving ritual.

Major cities: Port Vila, Luganville, Norsup, Isangel

2024
328K
UN
2050
534K
UN
2100
875K
UN
~2200
1.0M
GPU
~2500
1.0M
GPU
Population328K
Fertility (TFR)3.57
Life expectancy71.7
Median age20.1
Infant mortality14.2 per 1,000
Pop. density26/km²
Urbanization22%
Youth share (0-14)39%
Land area12,190 km²
LanguageBislama 23%
ReligionChristian
HDI0.621 (#146)
RegionOceania

Latest available year is shown in parentheses where the source series varies across indicators. Governance metrics use World Bank percentile ranks; battle deaths and military spending are context variables, not direct fertility drivers.

UN WPP 2024 — verified data through 2100
YearPopulationTFRLife Exp.CBRCDRNet MigrationGrowth
195052K7.0443.941.622.3-0K1.9%
195557K7.0347.144.419.2-0K2.5%
196064K6.7849.844.316.50K2.8%
196574K6.5252.543.213.90K2.9%
197086K6.3555.342.312.2-0K3.0%
1975100K5.9858.141.010.3-0K3.1%
1980116K5.6961.340.311.0-1K2.9%
1985130K5.4363.941.08.6-1K3.2%
1990148K5.1766.739.06.8-1K3.2%
1995167K4.8568.135.45.8-1K3.0%
2000186K4.5468.632.35.3-0K2.7%
2005211K4.1369.231.25.4-0K2.6%
2010238K4.1369.633.05.5-1K2.7%
2015266K3.9570.232.85.7-1K2.7%
2020299K3.7470.429.95.7-0K2.4%
2024Now328K3.5771.727.75.0-0K2.3%
2025335K3.5371.827.25.0-0K2.2%
2030372K3.3572.725.74.9-0K2.1%
2035411K3.1873.525.05.0-0K2.0%
2040452K3.0574.324.35.1-0K1.9%
2045493K2.9275.123.15.1-0K1.8%
2050534K2.8075.821.65.2-1K1.6%
2055575K2.7176.620.45.4-1K1.5%
2060615K2.6177.419.45.5-1K1.4%
2065654K2.5378.118.65.7-1K1.3%
2070692K2.4578.917.96.0-1K1.2%
2075729K2.3879.617.06.3-1K1.1%
2080763K2.3280.316.26.5-1K1.0%
2085795K2.2781.015.56.7-1K0.9%
2090825K2.2181.714.87.0-1K0.8%
2095852K2.1682.414.27.3-1K0.7%
2100875K2.1283.013.77.7-1K0.6%