Humanity Forecast
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Zambia flag

Zambia

A landlocked southern African nation, Zambia shares Victoria Falls — one of the world's largest and most spectacular waterfalls — with Zimbabwe on the Zambezi River. The capital Lusaka is the economic center, while the Copperbelt region in the north has driven the economy for decades. Zambia is one of Africa's most urbanized countries and is known for its wildlife-rich national parks, especially South Luangwa.

Major cities: Lusaka, Kitwe, Ndola, Livingstone

2024
21.3M
UN
2050
38.1M
UN
2100
64.5M
UN
~2200
65.0M
GPU
~2500
17.0M
GPU
Population21.3M
Fertility (TFR)4.04
Life expectancy66.5
Median age17.5
Infant mortality30.9 per 1,000
Pop. density28/km²
Urbanization45%
Youth share (0-14)42%
Land area743,390 km²
LanguageEnglish
ReligionChristian
HDI0.595 (#154)
RegionAfrica

Latest available year is shown in parentheses where the source series varies across indicators. Governance metrics use World Bank percentile ranks; battle deaths and military spending are context variables, not direct fertility drivers.

UN WPP 2024 — verified data through 2100
YearPopulationTFRLife Exp.CBRCDRNet MigrationGrowth
19502.32M6.7846.850.118.8-1K3.1%
19552.70M6.8048.849.217.8-2K3.1%
19603.15M6.9550.648.916.5-4K3.2%
19653.69M7.1252.148.815.6-5K3.3%
19704.32M7.2253.449.314.8-31K3.5%
19754.99M7.4255.750.013.4-31K3.7%
19805.80M7.1455.547.513.3-25K3.4%
19856.78M6.9352.047.414.8-18K3.3%
19907.79M6.5748.247.016.7-39K3.0%
19958.79M6.2346.146.817.4-45K2.9%
200010.0M5.9246.645.516.2-4K2.9%
200511.7M5.7051.643.812.4+35K3.1%
201014.0M5.3656.941.49.3+23K3.2%
201516.4M4.7860.737.37.4+16K3.0%
202019.1M4.3263.434.46.3+8K2.8%
2024Now21.3M4.0466.532.75.2+7K2.8%
202521.9M3.9766.732.45.1+7K2.7%
203025.0M3.6767.530.45.0+3K2.5%
203528.3M3.4068.328.45.1-2K2.3%
204031.6M3.1569.126.35.2-9K2.1%
204534.8M2.9669.824.65.4-13K1.9%
205038.1M2.8170.523.15.6-20K1.7%
205541.3M2.6971.221.95.9-21K1.6%
206044.5M2.5971.920.86.2-17K1.5%
206547.6M2.4972.619.76.5-24K1.3%
207050.5M2.4173.218.76.8-21K1.2%
207553.3M2.3473.917.87.1-24K1.1%
208056.0M2.2874.617.07.4-22K1.0%
208558.4M2.2375.316.37.8-29K0.9%
209060.7M2.1776.015.68.1-31K0.7%
209562.7M2.1376.715.08.4-34K0.7%
210064.5M2.0877.314.48.7-30K0.6%